Discover what a normal yield curve is and how it affects your investments. This curve shows lower yields for short-term debt and can indicate future interest rate trends.

Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve. For those of us who are not yield curve maximalists, we can ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest... Can the yield curve still predict recessions? Two years ...

The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...

The inverted yield curve, an age-old recession indicator that has been flashing since July 2022, is proving reluctant to go away. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was higher than the yield on ...

Leading economic indicators, such as the inverted yield curve, have warned that a recession is imminent. But these gauges are misleading amid strength in credit conditions, Ed Yardeni wrote on Monday.

Nearly 61% of U.S. investors feel pessimistic about the market's future, the most recent weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors revealed. So if you're worried a recession ...

This reliable indicator has accurately predicted the last four recessions. However, the economy is still strong based on recent data. Whether a recession materializes could move stocks significantly ...

The U.S. economy grew at a healthy 3% annual rate as of the latest Q2 GDP report. However, as the Federal Reserve signals that interest rate cuts are likely, what are the risks? A 2024 recession is ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...